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Prediction Ping

Real-time alerts on unusually confident prediction market bets

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Alerts filed: 27
Resolved: 23
Pending: 4
Hit rate: 87%

Recent filings

Live since 23 Apr 26

Market	Side	Bet price	Confidence	Outcome	Return on bet	Filed
Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future? Financials18 Aug 26	no	$0.80	Medium	Pending	—	6d ago
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Economics07 Aug 26	no	$0.49	High+2 whales agree	Pending	—	17d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Economics07 Aug 26	no	$0.53	Medium+7 whales agree1 whale against	Pending	—	17d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? Economics06 Aug 26	no	$0.50	High+4 whales agree23 whales against	Pending	—	18d ago
Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026? Economics17 Aug 26	yes	$0.80	High	Target hit	+17%	7d ago
Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Aug 17, 2026 be above 1273.70? Economics17 Aug 26	yes	$0.31	High	Missed	−100%	7d ago
Will Aug 2026 be the hottest Aug ever? Climate and Weather15 Aug 26	yes	$0.79	Medium	Target hit	+19%	9d ago
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? Politics04 Aug 26	no	$0.74	High+1 whale agree	Target hit	+27%	20d ago
Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 75000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week? Entertainment01 Aug 26	yes	$0.70	High	Target hit	+34%	23d ago
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026? Economics30 Jul 26	yes	$0.55	Medium	Called correctly	+80%	25d ago
Will average gas prices be above $4.10? Economics29 Jul 26	yes	$0.55	Medium	Target hit	+71%	26d ago
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting? Economics08 Jul 26	no	$0.78	Medium	Target hit	+21%	47d ago
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in June 2026? Economics03 Jul 26	yes	$0.75	High	Missed	−100%	52d ago
Will Tesla Inc. report above 450000 total deliveries in Q2 2026? Companies01 Jul 26	yes	$0.69	Medium	Target hit	+36%	54d ago
Will Tesla Inc. report above 440000 total deliveries in Q2 2026? Companies01 Jul 26	yes	$0.74	Medium	Target hit	+27%	54d ago
Will Tesla Inc. report above 440000 total production in Q2 2026? Companies01 Jul 26	yes	$0.60	Medium	Target hit	+57%	54d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting? Economics01 Jul 26	no	$0.80	Medium+6 whales agree	Target hit	+17%	54d ago
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026? Politics01 Jul 26	no	$0.72	Medium	Target hit	+31%	54d ago
#2 US Netflix Movie on Jun 29, 2026? Entertainment24 Jun 26	no	$0.70	High+4 whales agree	Target hit	+34%	61d ago
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting? Economics18 Jun 26	yes	$0.80	High+12 whales agree	Target hit	+17%	67d ago
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? Politics11 Jun 26	no	$0.78	Medium+2 whales agree	Target hit	+21%	74d ago
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Commodities05 Jun 26	no	$0.47	High	Target hit	+100%	80d ago
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Commodities04 Jun 26	no	$0.54	Medium	Target hit	+74%	81d ago
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 100.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Commodities26 May 26	no	$0.67	Medium	Target hit	+40%	90d ago
Will average gas prices be above $4.40? Economics24 May 26	yes	$0.80	Medium	Missed	−100%	92d ago
Will average gas prices be above $4.530? Economics11 May 26	no	$0.80	High	Target hit	+17%	105d ago
Will the official Settlement Price for the Current Auction of CARB Joint Auction #47 strictly exceed $27.94? Financials23 Apr 26	no	$0.30	High+2 whales agree	Target hit	+213%	123d ago